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US Officials Believe Iran Regime Change, End To Nuclear Threat ‘Unlikely’ Amid West Asia War

  • March 24, 2026

US officials believe the war with Iran is unlikely to achieve key objectives such as overthrowing Tehran’s theocratic regime or preventing it from acquiring nuclear weapons.

Iranian firefighters use an excavator to clear rubble from a residential building that was hit in an earlier US-Israeli strike in Tehran (Photo: AP)

US officials now believe the ongoing war is unlikely to achieve major strategic objectives that appeared possible at the outset of the US-Israeli military campaign, including overthrowing Iran’s theocratic regime and permanently putting a nuclear weapon out of Tehran’s reach, according to The Washington Post.

The report said reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical conduit for global energy supplies, has emerged as perhaps the paramount objective of the conflict, as security officials reassess what outcomes are realistically achievable.

According to the report, breaking Iran’s stranglehold over the vital shipping lane could allow the United States to wind down the war while claiming a measure of success, ease an expanding global energy crisis and reduce Iran’s leverage as a deterrent against future strikes.

Senior Israeli officials cited by the report suggested that further military action could remain possible if Iran resumes ballistic missile production or moves toward developing a nuclear weapon, underscoring continuing concerns about Tehran’s long-term capabilities.

TRUMP SIGNALS POSSIBILITY OF NEGOTIATED OUTCOME

US President Donald Trump said Monday that Washington is in contact with an Iranian leader and claimed Tehran is eager to reach a deal to end the war.

He also extended a deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, saying the country now has an additional five days to comply or face attacks on power plants.

Trump said Iran wants “to make a deal,” adding that there is a “very good chance” an agreement could be reached this week. He said discussions had involved US envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, though he did not specify which Iranian official was involved.

Iran denied that negotiations had taken place.

Iranian parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf said “no negotiations have been held with the US,” adding that “fake news is used to manipulate the financial and oil markets,” according to the Associated Press.

NUCLEAR PROGRAMME REMAINS CENTRAL ISSUE

Trump said that if an agreement is reached, the United States would seek to take control of Iran’s enriched uranium, which is central to its nuclear programme.

Iran has consistently insisted it has the right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes and has rejected demands to surrender its stockpile.

According to the Associated Press, Iran has already completed 99 per cent of the centrifuge work required to produce weapons-grade uranium for nine nuclear weapons, citing Robert Goldston, a Princeton University professor who researches arms control and fusion energy.

The International Atomic Energy Agency estimated that Iran possessed 440.9 kilograms of highly enriched uranium as of June 2025.

The nuclear issue remains a major point of contention, even as US officials cited by The Washington Post now believe permanently eliminating the risk of Iran obtaining nuclear weapons may not be achievable through the current conflict.

MEDIATION EFFORTS UNDERWAY THROUGH REGIONAL ACTORS

Diplomatic activity involving regional powers has intensified.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi held a phone call with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, while Turkish officials also spoke with counterparts from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Egypt and the European Union, as well as US officials.

Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi said Cairo had delivered “clear messages” to Iran focused on de-escalation.

Egypt’s foreign ministry said it was maintaining “constant efforts and communications” with all parties.

An Egyptian official told the Associated Press that messages were exchanged between the United States and Iran through Egypt, Turkey and Pakistan over the weekend in an effort to avert strikes on energy infrastructure that could disrupt electricity supply across the Gulf region and affect desalination plants that provide drinking water.

A Gulf diplomat said mediation efforts appeared to have helped avoid an energy crisis that could have resulted if attacks targeted oil and power facilities, according to the Associated Press.

CONFLICT CONTINUES ACROSS MULTIPLE FRONTS

Despite diplomatic signals, fighting continues across the region.

Israel launched new strikes targeting infrastructure in Tehran, with explosions heard in several locations.

Israel is also continuing operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, which has fired rockets into Israel. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said military operations would continue, stating, “There’s more to come.”

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun warned that strikes on bridges could signal preparations for a possible ground invasion.

Source : https://www.news18.com/world/iran-war-us-officials-believe-middle-east-conflict-west-asia-war-unlikely-to-overthrow-iran-regime-ws-l-9993389.html

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