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‘They Just Weren’t Seeing The Signs’: Houthi Gains Expose Saudi Intel Failure, Embolden Iran

  • September 20, 2026

Houthi capture of territory near Bab el-Mandeb Strait is a major setback for Saudi Arabia in Yemen, exposing intelligence gaps and limits of Western support.

Photo released by Ansarullah Media Centre shows fighters in the midst of what the Houthi military said is the wreckage of a Saudi F-15 fighter jet that was shot down in Marib.

The Houthi capture of territory overlooking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has dealt Saudi Arabia one of its biggest setbacks in Yemen in years, exposing intelligence gaps, the collapse of Saudi-backed forces and the limits of Western military support, according to a Reuters report.

The advance along Yemen’s Red Sea coast and the capture of islands near the strategic waterway have also strengthened Iran-backed Houthi forces at a key maritime chokepoint.

Houthi Build-Up Caught Saudis ‘Off Guard’

Western, regional and Yemeni officials cited by Reuters said the setback was driven by divisions among anti-Houthi factions, a new Saudi-led command structure, limited Saudi air support and an underestimation of Houthi preparations.

One diplomat said the Houthis had quietly built a force of about 100,000 fighters. “Everyone, including the Saudis, missed this build-up and miscalculated the Houthis’ intentions,” the diplomat said.

Neil Quilliam of Chatham House described the setback as a major intelligence failure.

“They just weren’t picking up the signal. They just weren’t seeing the signs,” he said.

Yemeni political analyst Farea Al-Muslimi said: “The Saudis were caught off guard in Yemen.”

The collapse of Saudi-backed forces also left the Houthis with a large cache of US- and Saudi-supplied weapons, potentially giving the group additional military capabilities and intelligence on its opponents.

“The Yemeni government forces were like a house of cards. They didn’t resist. Completely. Completely,” said UAE-based political analyst Abdulkhaleq Abdallah.

Source : https://www.news18.com/world/they-just-werent-seeing-the-signs-houthi-gains-expose-saudi-intel-failure-embolden-iran-ws-l-10335082.html

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